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🔴"Hot Zones: U.S. Embassy Drone Attack, Israel's Yemen Strike & NATO's Take on Ukraine's Strategy"🔴

"Hot Zones: U.S. Embassy Drone Attack, Israel's Yemen Strike & NATO's Take on Ukraine's Strategy"







Key International News from July 19:


Objective Summary:


One killed in drone attack near U.S. Embassy office in Tel Aviv



Yemen's Houthi rebels have claimed responsibility for the blast.

A drone attack near a U.S. Embassy branch office in Tel Aviv resulted in one fatality and ten injuries on Friday. Yemen's Houthi rebels claimed responsibility for the attack, describing it as a "significant military operation" using a new drone capable of evading interception. The incident has heightened alert levels in Tel Aviv, with increased air patrols by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and investigations into how the drone breached defenses.


Key Points

  1. Incident Details:

  • A drone attack occurred near the U.S. Embassy branch office in Tel Aviv, killing one person and injuring ten.


  • The city is on high alert, and residents are to follow emergency instructions.


  • IDF confirmed the blast resulted from a drone, increasing air patrols to protect Israeli airspace.


  1. Responsibility and Claims:

  • Yemen's Houthi rebels claimed responsibility for the attack.


  • The Houthi spokesperson stated the attack was a response to Israeli actions in Gaza and would continue until the aggression and siege on Gaza are lifted.


  1. Casualties and Damage:

  • The deceased, a 50-year-old man, suffered severe shrapnel injuries.


  • Several others were wounded and taken to hospitals.


  1. Eyewitness and Evidence:

  • Eyewitnesses reported a loud whirring noise before the explosion.


  • Photos and videos online show drone fragments and damage at the scene.


  1. Context:

  • The attack is part of ongoing hostilities following a surprise attack by Hamas on Israel on October 7 and subsequent Israeli offensives in Gaza.


  • The conflict has resulted in significant casualties on both sides, with over 38,000 Palestinians and 1,400 Israelis reported dead.


Conclusion

The drone attack near the U.S. Embassy branch office in Tel Aviv, claimed by Yemen's Houthi rebels, has intensified the already tense security situation in the region. The incident underscores the broader context of escalating violence between Israel and militant groups, with significant civilian casualties and the potential for further regional conflict.


Objective Summary

Fyodor Lukyanov: Trump's return would be the E.U.'s worst nightmare

"The Old World is extremely vulnerable to an American leader who could depart from the liberal Atlantic consensus."

Fyodor Lukyanov discusses the potential implications of Donald Trump's return to the U.S. presidency for the European Union (E.U.). He argues that Trump's leadership, which diverges from the liberal Atlantic consensus, could pose significant challenges for the E.U., especially given its current geopolitical and economic dependencies on the United States.


Key Points

  1. Shock and Concern in the E.U.:

  • The E.U. is unsettled by recent events in the U.S., including an attempted assassination of Trump and President Biden's recent gaffes.


  • Trump's potential return to power is highly destabilizing for the E.U.


  1. Trump's Previous Presidency:

  • Despite Trump's controversial style, his previous term did not catastrophically damage transatlantic relations.


  • Biden has also adopted many of Trump's policies, such as demands for increased military spending and economic rebalancing.


  1. European Dependence on the U.S.:

  • In 2022, the E.U. aligned closely with the U.S. on the Ukraine conflict, preceding an independent stance.


  • This alignment has led to a dependency on U.S. leadership, particularly in NATO.


  1. Fears of Strategic Autonomy:

  • There are concerns that Trump might deprioritize Europe, forcing the E.U. to address its strategic autonomy.


  • The E.U. must prepare for a scenario where it must handle its geopolitical challenges without U.S. support.


  1. Economic and Geopolitical Challenges:

  • The E.U. faces pressure from the U.S. to engage in economic confrontations with China, which may intensify under Trump.


  • Historically, Europe has managed to pursue its economic interests even during the Cold War but is now more constrained.


  1. Shift in U.S. Focus:

  • Since Bill Clinton's presidency, the U.S. has been reorienting its priorities away from Europe.


  • The E.U. still needs to adapt to this shift and remains vulnerable to changes in U.S. foreign policy.

Conclusion

Lukyanov concludes that the E.U. needs to prepare for a potential second term of Donald Trump, whose policies could significantly alter the established liberal-Atlantic consensus. This could compel the E.U. to confront its own strategic and economic challenges independently, a scenario for which it currently needs to be prepared.


Key International News for July 20:

Objective Summary

Donbas push, logistics strikes, and heavy winged bombs: The week in the Russia-Ukraine conflict (VIDEOS)

Moscow has made new gains in Donbas while continuing its campaign against Ukraine's military rear.


Over the past week, the Russia-Ukraine conflict has seen intensified hostilities, with significant developments including Russian advances in Donbas, continued strikes on Ukrainian logistics, and the deployment of new heavy bombs. Russian forces have captured vital locations and targeted high-value Ukrainian military assets and infrastructure.


Key Points

  1. Russian Advances in Donbas:

  • Urozhaynoye: Russian forces announced the liberation of Urozhaynoye in the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR).


  • Yuryevka and Progress: Additional advances were reported in Yuryevka and Progress, signaling a westward push and increased control over strategic areas.


  • Poroshenko Line: The village of Progress, part of the heavily fortified Poroshenko Line, saw significant combat.


  1. Strikes on Ukrainian Logistics:

  • Train Station Attack: Russian forces used Iskander missiles to strike a train station in Budy, Kharkiv Region, destroying military hardware and causing casualties among Ukrainian soldiers.


  • Training Grounds Attack: Another Iskander missile targeted Ukrainian training grounds near Peresechnoye, resulting in significant Ukrainian troop casualties.


  1. Deployment of Heavy Winged Bombs:

  • FAB-3000 Bombs: Russia officially acknowledged using FAB-3000 high-explosive bombs with guidance kits, enhancing their reach and accuracy.


  • Operational Use: These bombs were deployed from Su-34 aircraft, demonstrating their capability to strike from high altitudes.


  1. Lancet Kamikaze Drone Strikes:

  • Targets: The Russian Lancet drone has been used effectively against Ukrainian artillery, anti-aircraft systems, and electronic warfare stations.


  • Notable Strikes: Recent strikes included the destruction of a US-made M109 Paladin howitzer and a Soviet-era 2K22 Tunguska anti-aircraft vehicle.

Conclusion

The past week in the Russia-Ukraine conflict has been marked by significant Russian military gains and aggressive strikes targeting Ukrainian logistics and military assets. These developments highlight the escalating intensity of the conflict and the continued strategic maneuvering by Russian forces to consolidate control and disrupt Ukrainian defense capabilities.


Objective Summary

Israel's 'long arm' will reach enemies anywhere – Netanyahu.

"The strike on Yemen was a demonstration of West Jerusalem's determination to punish any aggressor, the prime minister has warned."

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has praised the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) for a large-scale air raid on Yemen's port city of Hodeidah, which resulted in significant damage and casualties. The attack was a response to a drone strike by Houthi rebels that killed one Israeli and injured others in Tel Aviv. Netanyahu emphasized that this operation serves as a warning to Israel's enemies that the country will respond to threats no matter how far they originate.


Key Points

  1. Israeli Air Raid on Yemen:

  • Location and Impact: The IDF conducted a large-scale air raid on Hodeidah, Yemen, causing a significant fire at the port's oil terminal and injuring at least 80 people.


  • Netanyahu's Statement: Netanyahu claimed the port was used for military purposes by the Houthis, who received weapons from Iran.


  • Purpose of the Attack: The raid was a response to a Houthi drone attack in Tel Aviv that killed one person and injured several others near the U.S. Consulate.


  1. Drone Attack in Tel Aviv:

  • Details: A Houthi drone attack in Tel Aviv resulted in one death and multiple injuries. The IDF cited a human error for the failure to intercept the drone.


  • Response Justification: Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant emphasized that the air raid on Yemen was to demonstrate Israel's capability to retaliate against threats from any location.


  1. Netanyahu's Warning to Enemies:

  • Deterrent Message: Netanyahu declared that Israel's "long arm" can reach its enemies anywhere, reinforcing the country's resolve to defend itself.


  • Upcoming Speech: Netanyahu is scheduled to address the U.S. Congress, likely to further highlight Israel's stance on national security and threats.


  1. Houthi Reactions and Threats:

  • Promise of Retaliation: The Houthis vowed to avenge the Israeli air raid with more impactful strikes, criticizing the attack as an attempt to pressure Yemen to stop supporting Gaza.


  1. Ongoing Conflict Context:

  • Houthi Actions: The Houthis have targeted Israeli-linked merchant vessels since October in support of Palestinians in Gaza.


  • International Involvement: The U.S. and UK-led coalition have been striking Houthi positions, claiming the group acts as a proxy for Iran.


Conclusion

The recent Israeli air raid on Yemen's port city of Hodeidah, following a deadly Houthi drone attack in Tel Aviv, underscores Israel's readiness to respond to distant threats decisively. Prime Minister Netanyahu's statements reflect a strategic message to Israel's adversaries about the country's far-reaching military capabilities. The ongoing conflict involves multiple regional and international actors, complicating the dynamics and potential for further escalation.


Objective Summary


Israel conducts first direct air raid on Yemen (VIDEOS)


"The strike on the port city of Hodeidah comes "in response" to the actions of Houthi militants, the IDF has said."


The Israeli military conducted its first direct large-scale air raid on Yemen's port city of Hodeidah. This operation was a response to a series of attacks by the Houthi militant group on Israeli-linked civilian vessels and a recent drone strike in Tel Aviv. The attack on Hodeidah's oil terminal caused a massive fire and reportedly inflicted casualties. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu justified the strike, claiming the port was used to receive weapons from Iran for the Houthis, who vowed to retaliate.


Key Points

  1. Israeli Air Raid on Hodeidah:

  • Event: Israel launched a large-scale air raid on the Yemeni port city of Hodeidah.


  • Target and Damage: The strike focused on the port's oil terminal, causing a massive fire with multiple storage tanks ablaze and leaking fuel.


  1. Context and Justification:

  • Houthi Attacks: The raid was in response to the Houthi militants' ongoing attacks on Israeli-linked merchant vessels and a recent drone strike in Tel Aviv that resulted in casualties.


  • Netanyahu's Statement: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claimed the port was used to receive Iranian weapons for the Houthis.


  1. Casualties and Impact:

  • Local Reports: The strikes are believed to have caused casualties, though specific numbers are not detailed.


  1. Houthi Response:

  • Retaliation Promised: The Houthi group, which controls large parts of Yemen, has vowed to retaliate against Israel's air raid.


  1. Broader Conflict Involvement:

  • U.S. and U.K. Coalition: A coalition led by the U.S. and U.K. has been conducting airstrikes against the Houthis, though these efforts have reportedly had limited success in curbing Houthi attacks on maritime targets.


Conclusion

Israel's direct air raid on Yemen's Hodeidah marks a significant escalation in the conflict with the Houthi militants, who have been targeting Israeli-linked vessels and recently conducted a deadly drone strike in Tel Aviv. The operation, justified by Israel as a measure against the Iranian supply of weapons to the Houthis, has led to significant damage and casualties, with the Houthis promising further retaliation. This development adds a new dimension to the complex regional conflict involving multiple international actors.


Summary of the Situation

Top NATO general claims Ukraine has 'great' war strategy.



"Meanwhile, Russia's advances on the frontlines and Vladimir Zelensky's non-stop pleas for more military aid paint a different picture."


NATO's top European commander, General Christopher Cavoli, has praised Ukraine's military strategy despite its ongoing struggles on the frontlines. In a speech at the Aspen Security Forum, Cavoli emphasized Ukraine's effective force generation and strategic planning. However, the reality on the ground and statements from Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky present a more challenging picture.

Key Points

  1. General Cavoli's Remarks:

  • Strategic Praise: General Cavoli lauded Ukraine's strategy, highlighting its balance in recruitment, training, and arms procurement.


  • Force Generation: He emphasized the importance of force generation in modern warfare, noting Ukraine's efforts to mobilize and equip its forces.


  • Optimism: Cavoli expressed optimism about Ukraine's strategy and recent mobilization efforts.


  1. Contrasting Realities:

  • Zelensky's Concerns: Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky has repeatedly criticized the slow pace of Western arms deliveries, including F-16 fighter jets, which he claims are crucial for their defense.


  • Frontline Challenges: Reports from the frontlines indicate that Ukrainian forces face significant challenges and have been pushed back by Russian advances in several areas.


  • Western Doubts: According to the New York Times, many Western officials believe it is nearly impossible for Ukraine to regain all the lost territories due to the overstretched condition of its forces.


  1. Russian Position:

  • Persistent Advances: Russian troops have made gains, particularly in the Donbas region, contradicting Cavoli's upbeat assessment of Ukraine's strategy.


  • Call for Negotiations: Russian President Vladimir Putin has stated a willingness to cease hostilities and enter negotiations if Ukraine withdraws from contested territories and renounces its NATO ambitions.


Analysis

While General Cavoli's praise for Ukraine's strategy reflects a positive outlook on the country's military planning and mobilization efforts, the situation remains dire. Ukraine continues to struggle with the timely procurement of Western military aid, and its forces face ongoing setbacks against Russian advances. This disparity highlights the complex and evolving nature of the conflict, where strategic planning alone may only be sufficient with the necessary resources and timely support.

The conflicting narratives underscore the broader challenges faced by Ukraine and its allies in countering Russian aggression. While NATO's support remains crucial, the effectiveness of Ukraine's strategy will ultimately depend on the timely and adequate delivery of military aid and its ability to adapt to dynamic battlefield conditions.


The summary of the New York Times Report on Ukraine's Military Situation, sourced from July 9, is fascinating compared to the above article.



According to U.S. officials, a report by the New York Times reveals a grim outlook for Ukraine's military prospects. The officials believe that it will be nearly impossible for Kyiv to reclaim all the territories lost to Russia, given the current state of Ukrainian forces, which are stretched thin.


Key Points

  1. U.S. Officials' Assessment:

  • Territorial Recovery: U.S. officials privately acknowledge that Ukraine is unlikely to recover all lost territories due to the depletion and overstretching of its forces.


  • Long-term Victory: Despite the grim short-term outlook, officials suggest Ukraine might still achieve a strategic victory by moving closer to NATO and European integration if its battlefield performance improves.


  1. Upcoming U.S. Aid:

  • Financial Support: Ukraine will receive $61 billion in aid approved by the U.S. Congress to bolster its defenses.


  • Peace Talks: U.S. officials believe initiating peace talks now would be a mistake, given the impending aid package, which they hope will strengthen Ukraine's position.


  1. Russian Advances and Strategic Shifts:

  • Current Frontlines: Analysts believe neither Ukraine nor Russia can significantly alter the frontlines.


  • Potential Breakthroughs: While a significant Russian breakthrough is considered unlikely in the near term, there still needs to be concern about Russia's potential for substantial advances if a strategic shift occurs.


  1. NATO Summit and Support:

  • NATO's Stance: As NATO leaders meet in Washington, they will reaffirm their continued support for Ukraine. However, full NATO membership for Ukraine remains a distant possibility.


  • Security Concerns: Russia's opposition to Ukraine's NATO ambitions is a significant factor, with Moscow citing NATO's expansion as a threat to its national security.

Analysis

The NYT report highlights the challenging situation facing Ukraine as it continues to defend against Russian aggression. The depletion of Ukrainian forces and U.S. officials' acknowledgment of the near-impossibility of reclaiming all lost territories paint a sobering picture. Despite this, the substantial U.S. aid package and continued NATO support provide some hope for Ukraine to bolster its defenses and maintain its sovereignty.


The strategic implications of these developments are significant. The report suggests that while Ukraine may not achieve a complete military victory, it could still emerge stronger through closer ties with NATO and Europe. However, this scenario is contingent on improved battlefield performance and practical use. Recognizing the ongoing challenges tempers U.S. officials' cautious optimism of U.S. officials. The potential for significant Russian advances remains a concern, emphasizing the need for sustained international conflict's complex dynamics to underscore the importance of strategic planning and resource allocation in determining the future course of the war.


Conclusion

The NYT report underscores the difficult position Ukraine finds itself in, with depleted forces and challenging prospects for reclaiming lost territories. However, the substantial aid package and continued NATO support provide a pathway for Ukraine to strengthen its defenses and move towards closer integration with the West. The situation remains fluid, with the potential for significant developments on both sides of the conflict.


Key International New July 21:


Summary of Russian Military Advances in Ukraine and Donbas


Russian forces advancing in Ukraine and Donbas – MOD


"Moscow's troops have secured the towns of Rozovka in the Lugansk People's Republic and Pestchanoye Nizhneye in the Kharkiv Region."


The Russian Ministry of Defense has reported significant advancements in Ukraine and the Donbas region. The recent military developments indicate that Russian forces have secured strategic locations and inflicted heavy casualties on Ukrainian troops.


Key Points

  1. Town Captures:

  • Rozovka, Lugansk People's Republic: Russian forces have taken control of this town.


  • Pestchanoye Nizhneye, Kharkiv Region: Russian troops have also captured this area.


  1. Ukrainian Casualties and Equipment Losses:

  • Casualties: Over the past 24 hours, Ukrainian forces have suffered more than 1,500 casualties.


  • Artillery Losses: The Ukrainian military has lost multiple artillery guns, including US-made M777 howitzers.


  • Ammunition Depots: Seven Ukrainian ammunition depots have been destroyed.


  1. Strategic Positions:

  • Donetsk People's Republic: Russian troops have improved their positions in several areas within this region.


  • Artillery and Equipment: Russian forces have hit several Ukrainian self-propelled artillery guns, both Western- and Soviet-made, and destroyed a US-made radar and a Soviet-made radio warfare system.


  1. Destruction of Military Assets:

  • HIMARS System: A US-made HIMARS multiple-launch rocket system has been removed.


  • Industrial Plants: Several industrial plants used by the Ukrainian military have been targeted.


  • Mi-8 Helicopter: Russian air defenses have downed a Ukrainian Mi-8 helicopter in the past 24 hours.

Analysis

The recent developments indicate a concerted effort by Russian forces to secure key locations and disrupt Ukrainian logistics and military capabilities. The capture of Rozovka and Pestchanoye Nizhneye highlights strategic advancements in the Lugansk and Kharkiv regions, potentially giving Russian forces better control over these areas.

The heavy casualties and significant losses in artillery and other military assets for the Ukrainian forces are indicative of intense fighting and could impact their operational capabilities. The destruction of ammunition depots and critical military assets like the HIMARS system and the Mi-8 helicopter further weakened Ukraine's defensive and offensive potential.

The improved positions in the Donetsk People's Republic suggest that Russian forces consolidate their gains and fortify their regional presence. This could lead to more stable control over the territories and allow for better logistical support and coordination of further operations.


Conclusion

The Russian Ministry of Defense's report on recent military operations highlights significant gains in Ukraine and the Donbas region. The capture of strategic towns, heavy Ukrainian casualties, and the destruction of critical military assets underline the ongoing intensity of the conflict. These developments could have substantial implications for the future course of the war, influencing both military strategies and geopolitical dynamics.


Summary of Mayor Vitaly Klitschko's Statements on Potential Peace Deal


Any Zelensky peace deal would require a referendum – the mayor of Kyiv.


"The Ukrainian leader risks a "political suicide" regardless of what move he makes, Vitaly Klitschko warns."


Key Points:

  1. Referendum Requirement:

  • Vitaly Klitschko, the Mayor of Kyiv, stated that any potential peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia would likely require a nationwide referendum to "legitimize" the deal.


  1. Political Risks for Zelensky:

  • Klitschko warned that any move by Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky towards such an agreement would be risky, potentially leading to his "political suicide."


  • Given the high life cost, the mayor expressed that explaining the necessity of territorial concessions to the Ukrainian public would be extremely difficult.


  1. Current and Future Challenges:

  • Klitschko predicted that the coming months would be particularly challenging for Zelensky, especially with the upcoming U.S. elections, which might influence international support.


  • He also emphasized that there are more viable options than prolonging the conflict for several years.


  1. National Unity Government:

  • Klitschko suggested that forming an Israeli-style national unity government could help Ukraine navigate this difficult period and provide the necessary legitimacy for a peace deal.


  • However, he expressed skepticism about Zelensky's willingness to relinquish the power he has concentrated under martial law.


  1. Zelensky's Legitimacy:

  • Zelensky's term expired in May, but he did not hold a presidential election due to the ongoing martial law.


  • Moscow has indicated that it no longer considers Zelensky a legitimate president, as his mandate has expired.

Analysis:

Klitschko's suggestion highlights the complex political landscape in Ukraine and the significant challenges facing Zelensky. The necessity of a referendum underscores the deep-seated issues of legitimacy and public support that any peace deal must address. The political risks for Zelensky are substantial, as any compromise could be seen as a betrayal of the sacrifices made by the Ukrainian military and the public.


Conclusion:

Mayor Vitaly Klitschko's statements reflect the precarious political situation in Ukraine regarding potential peace negotiations with Russia. The need for a referendum to legitimize any agreement indicates the importance of public approval and the high stakes involved for President Zelensky, who faces significant political risks regardless of his chosen path.


Sourcing from July 2nd, and the 3rd:


Summary of Decline in Global Confidence in Zelensky




Key Points:

  1. Poll Results:

  • Pew Research Center polled 35 countries, revealing a significant decline in global confidence in Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky.


  • Only 40% of respondents expressed "some" confidence in Zelensky's handling of world affairs.


  • Support was highest in Sweden (80%), the U.K. (72%), the Netherlands (66%), Canada (64%), and Japan (63%).

  • Skepticism was highest in Hungary (83%), Greece (72%), Tunisia (69%), Mexico (67%), Malaysia (61%), Italy (60%), and Türkiye (60%).


  1. No Opinion Segment:

  • A notable portion of respondents, including 45% in India and 38% in South Africa and Sri Lanka, did not express any opinion on Zelensky.


  1. Decline in Confidence:

  • The Pew Research noted a significant decline in confidence in Zelensky over the past year, with opinions varying based on political ideology.


  • In the U.S., liberals are more than twice as likely as conservatives to have confidence in Zelensky.


  1. Support for Ukraine:

  • When asked about their nation's military support to Ukraine, opinions varied:

  • 24% of Americans said the U.S. needed to provide more support.


  • 31% said Washington was providing too much support.

  • In Poland, views were split.


  • In Hungary and Türkiye, most respondents felt their countries' level of support was "about the right amount."


  1. Democracy in Ukraine:

  • A Kyiv International Institute of Sociology study found that 43% of Ukrainians believe democratic institutions worsened during Zelensky's presidency.


  • Another 29% saw no change, and 28% blamed the authorities' actions for the decline.


  1. Zelensky's Legitimacy:

  • Zelensky remains in power despite his term expiring on May 20, citing martial law as the reason for not holding a presidential election.


  • Russian President Vladimir Putin argued that Zelensky's legitimacy has "expired" because the Constitution does not provide for suspending presidential elections.


Analysis:

The Pew Research poll reflects a complex and evolving perception of President Zelensky on the global stage. The high confidence levels in some Western countries contrast sharply with skepticism in others, particularly in Hungary and Greece. This mixed sentiment is compounded by internal criticisms within Ukraine regarding democratic decline and the legitimacy of Zelensky's continued presidency.


Conclusion:

The decline in global confidence in Zelensky, coupled with mixed opinions on military support for Ukraine and concerns about democratic institutions within the country, highlights the challenges facing the Ukrainian leader. The upcoming period will be crucial for Zelensky as he navigates these issues and seeks to maintain domestic and international support.




In Christ, love Jared W. Campbell


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